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16th Australian Statistical Conference
July 7-11, 2002
National Convention Centre
Canberra, ACT, Australia

Organizers
Statistical Society of Australia Incorporated, Michael Adena - Chair Organising Committee, Kerrie Mengersen - Chair Program Committee

Conference Homepage

Abstracts

Bioinformatics

Melanie Bahlo Case control haplotype study to search for disease genes involved in Multiple Sclerosis in Tasmania
Roderick D. Ball Experimental designs for detecting linkage disequilibrium-power of association studies to achieve a given Bayes factor
Jisheng Cui Bivariate variance component analyses of genetic and shared environmental correlations – with application to blood pressure and body mass index
Peter Donnelly Modelling Genes
Peter Donnelly Ancestral inference in population genetics models with selection
Gerrit Gort Some statistical properties of AFLP's
Geoff McLachlan Selection bias in gene extraction in tumour classification
Matthew Ritchie Quality measures for cDNA microarray experiments
Gordon K Smyth Print-order normalization for cDNA microarrays
Patty Solomon Factorial and time course designs for cDNA microarray experiments

Biostatistics

Jisheng Cui Comparison of two segregation analysis methods for covariate effects on cancers
Charmaine Dean A semiparametric model for the analysis of recurrent event panel data
Sally Galbraith Guidelines for the design of clinical trials with longitudinal outcomes
Gary Glonek Analysis of a case-control study with differential measurement error
Janette Green Investigating incontinence in sub-acute patient care - A multilevel analysis
Peter Howley Using hierarchical models to analyse clinical indicators: a comparison of the gamma-Poisson and beta-binomial models
Richard Huggins Weighted estimation equations and biostatistical modelling
Maged Ishak Differentials of gestational diabetes mellitus between the Australian Aboriginal and the rest of the population
Nye John Crossover designs in clinical trials
Ning Li Assessing heterogeneity of disease transmission from data on households' outbreaks
Renate Meyer Semiparametric Bayesian modelling of stratified survival data using mixtures
Richard Morton A model for breast cancer counts
John Robinson Methods for grouping shapes of synaptic currents from sets of synapses
Philip Schluter Single patient trials with a binomial measure of treatment success: a hierarchical Bayesian model
Albert Charles Trajstman Towards a more humane intracerebral pathogenicity index
Yap Bee Wah Factors affecting bone density of post-menopausal women (A case study in Malaysia)
Tim Waterhouse Determining optimal sequence allocations for crossover designs in pharmacokinetic studies
Rory Wolfe Transitions in an imperfectly observed binary variable: depressive symptomatology in adolescents
Yun Zhao Confidence limits for prospective individual patient dosimetry in radio-pharmaceutical therapy of liver cancer
Khangelani Zuma Applications of Generalized Linear Mixed Models in sexual networks to understand dynamics of sexually transmitted infections (STIs)

Environmental Statistics

Suzanne Brown An analysis of roadside vegetation condition ratings using Markov Chains
Lynda Chambers Relationships between rainfall and mean sea level pressure in the south-west of Western Australia
Malcolm Clark The flowers that bloom in the spring
Ann Cowling Growth of dragons
Noel Cressie Finding large-scale spatial trends in massive, global, environmental datasets
Melissa Dobbie Computational methods for the spatial prediction of space-time pollution fields
M. S. Grewal Geostatistical evalutation of heavy metals in Indo-Gangetic alluvial plains of north west India
Bronwyn Harch Developing ecosystem health monitoring programs for rivers and streams (Poster presentation)
Cameron Hurst The effect of distance measure choice on the power of various permutation-based multivariate tests for difference.
Petra Kuhnert An application of spatial regression with smoothing over the covariates
S.A. Kulkarni Quantitative structure-biodegradability relationship for organic compounds: An approach based on logistic regression analysis
R. R. Laxmi Pooling data for studyind crop variety stability
Urmil Verma A seasonal ARIMA model for monthly rainfall sequence
Yan Wang Parametric and semi-parametric models for continuous capture-recapture studies via a two-step approach
Robert L Wolpert Water quality and rare poisson events

Financial Modelling

Richard Gerlach Variable selection in discrete regression models applied to value investing
Lyle C Gurrin Using the Black Scholes Merton contingent claims approach to the valuation of corporate debt to model default risk: Why Moody’s Investor Services bought KMV Corporation.
Chris Heyde Modes of long range dependence and checking for its presence in risky asset models
Ray Lindsay Visualising electricity supply data
S. Liu On estimation in conditionally heteroskedastic time series models under non-normal distributions
Ross Maller Statistical aspects of some recent financial models
Steven Stern Logistic discrimination versus tree-based models: A case study of Australian companies' use of derivative markets
Peter Thomson Fitting jump diffusion processes using the EM algorithm
Urmil Verma A computer program for investment appraisal in power sector

Government Statistics

Glenys Bishop Issues about using administrative data in a National Statistics Office
Rob Burnside Emerging issues for Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) business questionnaire design
Marilyn Chilvers Did police activity reduce crime?
James Chipperfield Generalised regression estimation for ABS Business Survey
Robert Clark Two-stage sample design with small clusters
Bill Gross Almost balanced replicate variance estimation
Kirk Hampel Estimating the effect of varying interview dates on Australia Labour Force estimates
Sybille McKeown Impact of Statistical Clearing House on Commonwealth Government business surveys
Craig McLaren Estimation of seasonal factors for a short time span using multi-level modelling.
Bheki Mpanza Overview of financial statistics publications
Ben Phillips Assessing the impact of social and economic policy using microsimulation models
Walter Robb Measurement of community outcomes by government
Veronica Boero Rodriguez Statistical analysis of AQIS airport operations
David Steel Combining survey and aggregate data
Chris Stevenson Estimating the disease burden of alcohol— the problems arising when data and policy interact
Paul Sutcliffe Identifying and adjusting for under reporting in the Survey of Freight Movement
Robert Templeton Potential use of EFTPOS data in New Zealand for Official Statistics
Mieke Wensvoort Not just counting sheep - Reinstatement of New Zealand's official statistical collection for agriculture.
Xichuan Zhang Forecasts of overseas migrant numbers using a VAR-ECM framework

Internet Delivery of Data and Statistics on the World Wide Web

Sama Low Choy Surfing statisticians: Riding the web-delivery wave of GIS
Sepideh Helali AgSurf, farm surveys data on the Web
Peter O'Hanlon Delivery of decision support model results over the web for the insurance industry
Siu-Ming Tam Dissemination of Official Statistics

Industrial Design and Experimentation

Karuthan Chinna Adimax chart for monitoring multivariate processes
Steven G. Duvall Statistical methods in semiconductor design and manufacturing
Sib Narayan Guria On the reliability function of the bridge structure under random environment
Richard Jarrett Breaking through - turning our efforts into action
Toby Lewis Some design problems with multilevel data
Denny Meyer Optimal experiments for time-dependent mineral processes
Nam-Ky Nguyen Design of experiments when experimental resources are scarce
Katya Ruggiero Optimal factorizations for the construction of alpha_n-designs
K.G. Russell Optimal quadratic response surface designs for binomial data
Stefan Steiner An overview of statistical engineering (Shainin Methods)
Alan Veevers An integrated approach to production process improvement

Non parametric Statistics

John Best Extended analysis for ranked data with ties
Bruce Brown Non-parametric models in social science
Jianbao Chen New nonparametric functions for measuring interactions in point patterns
Peter Hall Nonparametric methods for deconvolving multiperiodic functions
Martin Hazelton Variable kernel density estimation
T. P. Hutchinson Fitting a model whose explicit formula is unknown, with application to ordered contingency tables
Rob Hyndman A comparison of three nonparametric local linear extrapolation methods
Bing-Yi Jing Saddlepoint approximation for Student's t-statistic with no moment conditions
Estate V. Khmaladze Two-sample problem in R^m
Robert Kohn Estimation and variable selection in non-parametric heteroscedastic regression
Hong Ooi Density visualization and mode-hunting using trees
Christian Rau Likelihood-based confidence bands for fault line estimators
Simon Sheather A new method of dimension reduction for discriminating between groups
Bronwen Whiting Log-kernel density estimators

Probability and Inference

Alexandra Bremner Modified Classification and Regression Tree Splitting Criteria for Data with Interactions
Raymond J. Carroll Hierarchical functional data in colon carcinogenesis
Grace Chan Increment-based fractal dimension estimators for a class of non-gaussian stationary fields
Brenton R. Clarke Small sample bias correction for Huber's proposal-2 scale M-estimator.
Brett Davis Modelling labour force transition probabilities from superimposed samples
Peter K Dunn Maximum likelihood inference for Tweedie generalized linear models
Jianqing Fan Likelihood theory and the Wilks Phenomenon
Iain Johnstone Approximate null distributions for extreme eigenvalues in multivariate analysis.
Murray Jorgensen Using finite mixtures to robustify statistical models
Shahjahan Khan Predictive distribution of regression vector and residual sum of squares for multiple regression model
Alan Lee Empirical Bayes regression
Katrina Mather Testing equality of corresponding variances from multiple covariance matrices
Borek Puza Confidence intervals for the binomial proportion
Anant Ram A generalized R-norm entropy
Qiying Wang Self-normalized limit theorems
Neville Weber Large deviation results for U-statistics
Graham Wood How long must we wait?

Statistical Consulting

Inna Kolyshkina Modeling insurance risk: A comparison of data mining and logistic regression approaches
Ross Taplin Teaching statistical consulting before statistical methodology
Jodie Thompson When the boat comes in

Statistical Education

Pamela Hollis Stats Lab System for promoting practice of good statistical methods in research
Robert Mellor What do you need to know to be a statistician?
Anne Porter Improving the teaching and learning of statistics through a current issue of social and political importance.
Anne Porter Improving online statistics teaching and learning materials through the inclusion of simulations and video materials (Poster presentation)

Surveys

Philip Adrian Bell Opportunities for automatic data modelling in surveys
Don J Bennett The use of pre-approach letters to reduce missing data in surveys.
Daniel Elazar Some methodological issues concerning the 2001 redesign of the Australian Labour Force Survey
David Ellem OzTAM television ratings - behind the scenes
John L. Eltinge Foreman Lecture: Properties of stratum mixing methods applied to public-use survey datasets: Identification risk and variance estimator stability
John L. Eltinge Survey Workshop: Methods for construction and evaluation of combined estimatorsbased on interview and diary data from the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Survey
Petra Graham Prognostic tools for quality monitoring
Stephen Horn A quality strategy for the general customer survey: experiences with coverage loss and nonresponse over a complete cycle
Sheldon Rothman Organising items from longitudinal surveys
Nancy M Spencer Operational difficulties in a small area longitudinal survey
Robert Templeton Analysis of longitudinal business data.
Nicole Watson Weighting issues in a major new household based longitudinal survey
Anne Young Current challenges in the measurement and analysis of health outcomes in the Australian Longitudinal Study On Women's Health

Symposium in Honour of Richard Tweedie

Nigel G Bean Matrix exponential distributions: characterization and their physical interpretation
Peter Brockwell Continuous-time ARMA processes and applications
William Dunsmuir Observation driven models for time series of poisson counts
John Eccleston Design of experiments for non-linear models
Dennis Trewin Working with official statistics revisited

Other Areas of Statistics

Clair Alston Bayesian Mixture modeling of carcass components
Mark Berman Identifying materials in hyperspectral imagery without using a spectral library
Christopher Carter An efficient sampler for decomposable covariance selection models
Jimbo Henri Claver Approximation of statistical models by curved exponential families
John Crequer Benchmarking with the Kalman filter
Robert Davies Statistical analysis of road surface data
Omar M. Eidous Estimation of abundance under half-normal detection function
A Jonathan R Godfrey Dealing with sparsity in an international trials programme
J.L. Hay A bayesian hierarchical model for multinomial longitudinal data from a social survey
Zahirul Hoque Admissibility of the estimators of the mean vector of multivariate normal distribution under entropy and squared error loss functions
Ching-Kang Ing Selecting optimal multistep predictors in autoregressive processes
Helen Johnson Regression analysis of truncated data using MCMC methods
L. S. Kaushik Suitability of PBIB designs for obtaining PDC plans
I.S. Khairwal Regression of yield of Pearl Millet Inbreds and Inbreds on percent of Hybrids
Robert A.R. King A monte-carlo approach for assessing the predictive quality of logistic regression models
Krishnakumari Krishnan Modeling meta-analysis using bootstrap resampling technique
S. N. Laharia Managerial style of the ADOs and its influence in job satisfaction and performance of the KPSs
Magdalena Les Application of the state-space models and neural networks to solve selected prediction problems
Zbigniew Les Statistical interpretation and reasoning based on shape - application of the Shape Understanding
Sue Lindsay Why are loglikelihood functions multimodal?
Zeng-Hua Lu A mixture model approach to modelling binary choices with an application to labor supply
Judi McWhirter Bayesian modelling of pulstile data
Kerrie Mengersen Exploring the pinball sampler: Iid sampling with self-avoiding particle filters
S. Munjal Anasysis of work environment in computer training centres
Darfiana Nur Efficient estimation in smooth threshold autoregressive (1) models
Sudhir R. Paul Generalized linear model, zero-inflation and over-dispersion
Anthony Pettitt Complex data and spatial statistics: a case study from precision agriculture
Tania Prvan Nonparametric time dependent Principal Component Analysis
Guoqi Qian Using MCMC for logistic regression model selection involving large number of candidate models
Gareth Ridall Switching markov models for longitudinal counts
Mohammad-Reza Salehi-Rad Means of system size and waiting time for reservicing M/G/1 queueing systems
Amy Salter Limits to creating evidence-based research in clinical populations
P. S. Shehrawat An empirical analysis of diversification in farming using statistical tools
Deborah J. Street Optimal designs for choice experiments
Anthony J. Swain Variance-covariance models for repeated measures of flight speed
Ann Tran Modeling variation in caesarean section rates for NSW hospitals
Ron Webster Using logistic regression to identify risk factors for infection by Methicillin Resistant Staphylococcus Aureus
C L Wright Contractions and row-column designs
Aihua Xia Stein's method, birth-death processes and Poisson process approximation
N.D. Yatawara An information theoretic approach to test homogeneity in a mixture autoregressive time series model
Shu-Hui Yu On estimation conditional mean-squared prediction error in autoregressive processes


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